I started this blog when I stayed for Gustav. This was when blogging was new to me. It felt uncomfortable and I didn't use Twitter, but I believe now what I believed then, that mainstream media will never accurately report that happens during storms (see my Gustav posts) and that I can take care of myself here.
Tonight I livestreamed the line for gas Uptown just for the hell of it as I filled up. If I stay I'll update everything as long as I can. Because it looks like I am going to stay in New Orleans for Isaac. I'm having a hard time with this because I want to stay and believe I can do this and not endanger rescue workers or myself or others. But I am in love and don't want the person I am in love with to stay here because I want to. The "should I stay or should I go discussion" hurts my heart. We don't know yet exactly where the storm is going to go or where we'd go with pets and other people if we left or how we'd get there. He said he'd do what I would do and stay with me, but if it got really bad he'd be quite angry. This is not something I want to do to us as there have been no wedges between us yet. Four months seems much longer in "Occupy time." I love him with all my heart, and if I do decide to go it will be because of that and only that.
Since I started this blog years ago, Twitter and livestream have become part of my life; tonight I'm trying not to say too much the Twitters because I don't want to debate staying. I have to be able to believe in myself and trust myself and know that my contributions to citizen journalism will matter. That I won't die or make anyone else die. These are things I have thought about. Because it's not a game to me. A lot of people are referring to Katrina as what will happen and arguing that the aftermath of Katrina is what the aftermath of a hurricane will be like. But the aftermath of Ivan and Gustav and many others were not like that. Sitting on the highway with a car with no AC that will probably break down, two cats and a dog and grid-lock traffic, contra flow, no radio in the car, nobody else who can drive the car that will break down anyway and needs a brake tag does not seem healthy. I live on high ground that won't flood and have a generator.
(Unbelievably, I do not own a waterproof cape).
Some of the things I have:
A generator.Several level-headed friends staying.
Apartment on very high ground.
A dog.
A cat.
A broken 1996 Subaru.
Empty plastic water bottles to be used as flotation devices.
Food.
Water.
Ice.
Cigarettes
Red Cross Radio that can stay charged by winding and charge a cell phone
3 different cell phones with mega batteries (can switch SIM)
Candles.Enough batteries and flashlights to last a very long time.
Life jackets.
Power tools.
Plywood.
An air mattress that could be used as a raft.
Ice.
Coolers.
Verizon hotspot.
T-Mobile phone (two different towers)
Cox wireless at home
Rainboots
Survival gear commonly carried by occupy activists including waterproof backpack that can charge a phone via the sun
MREs
Sunscreen.
Bic lighters.
A waterproof fireproof safe.
Access to an axe.
More things on Bob Breck's list.
THIS -> "OK, I have it on good advice that now is when we believe the safest position is dead in the middle. Knew the track was likely to make a significant westward shift again, but this.... wow!"
NOLA Lat 29 57 8 N Long 90 03 8 W
I am begging anyone who knows me. Please know I'm keeping all eyes on this storm and weighing the consequences of my decisions. Please know that I can only respond to so much and can't respond to every tweet with an update about this storm. Thank you for caring about us. Much love always.
Atlantic Tropical Storm ISAAC Discussion Number 24
You are subscribed to NHC Forecast Discussions (Atlantic) for NOAA's N=
ational Weather Service.
Atlantic Tropical Storm ISAAC Discussion Number 24
=
08/26/2012 10:51 PM EDT
000
WTNT44 KNHC 270250
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC DISCUSSION NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
1100 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012
SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS SHOWN AN INCREASE IN THE AREA OF COLD CLOUD
TOPS NEAR THE CENTER OF ISAAC. HOWEVER...THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION IN RADAR DATA FROM KEY WEST
THIS EVENING. IN FACT...THE AIRCRAFT FIXES HAVE BEEN NEAR THE
SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER SEEN IN BOTH SATELLITE
=
AND RADAR IMAGERY. AN EARLIER SHIP OBSERVATION AND SFMR
MEASUREMENTS OF 50-55 KT SUPPORTED INCREASING THE INTENSITY TO 55
KT ON THE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY. SINCE THAT TIME...THE AIRCRAFT
HAS NOT FOUND ANY STRONGER WINDS SO THE INITIAL WIND SPEED REMAINS
=
UNCHANGED. THE LARGE SCALE ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS...WARM
WATERS...AND A CONDUCIVE UPPER-AIR PATTERN FAVOR STRENGTHENING
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER...THE LACK OF AN INNER CORE
AND LARGE WIND FIELD COULD CONTINUE TO BE IMPEDING FACTORS FOR
SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IN THE SHORT TERM. THE NHC INTENSITY
FORECAST SHOWS A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WIND SPEED DURING THE NEXT 12
=
HOURS OR SO...FOLLOWED BY MORE STEADY STRENGTHENING. THE OFFICIAL
=
FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE SHIPS/LGEM GUIDANCE AND THE INTENSITY
CONSENSUS.
AIRCRAFT AND RADAR CENTER FIXES INDICATE THAT ISAAC JOGGED WESTWARD
AND SLOWED DOWN THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THE LONGER TERM MOTION IS
=
285/12 KT. THE MODELS SHOW ISAAC TURNING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST INTO
A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. ALTHOUGH THE MODELS AGREE ON
THIS TURN...THERE IS AN UNUSUALLY LARGE SPREAD IN THE TRACK GUIDANCE
AFTER 24 HOURS. THE SPREAD OF LANDFALL LOCATIONS ALONG THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST RANGES FROM THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER WITH THE HWRF...GFDL...AND GFS NEAR THE
WESTERN EDGE AND THE UKMET AND ECMWF ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE
=
ENVELOPE. OVERALL...THE CONSENSUS HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE WESTWARD
AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AS BEEN MOVED IN THAT DIRECTION. THE NHC
FORECAST IS BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS ENSEMBLE MEANS AND NEAR THE
HFIP MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. BECAUSE OF THE VERY LARGE SPREAD IN
THE GUIDANCE...THERE CONTINUES TO BE GREATER THAN USUAL TRACK
FORECAST UNCERTAINTY.
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...IT IS IMPORTANT NOT TO FOCUS ON THE EXACT
FORECAST TRACK DUE TO FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES AND THE FACT THAT
SIGNIFICANT HAZARDS EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 27/0300Z 24.2N 82.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 27/1200Z 25.2N 84.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 28/0000Z 26.5N 86.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 28/1200Z 27.9N 88.3W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 29/0000Z 28.9N 89.3W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 30/0000Z 30.6N 90.3W 70 KT 80 MPH...INLAND
96H 31/0000Z 33.0N 91.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
120H 01/0000Z 36.0N 91.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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